After the baseball season, sit by the warm fire and prepare for the next season. It's 2023 without big elections, but our politics are still hot. Svspremium's off-season political consulting <Stove League>! We provide consulting on Korean politics with leading political analysts in Korea.

Born in Daegu, which is called the "garden of conservatives," he is active in Honam, where progressive politics are distinct, and is the chairman of the Suncheon City Party Cooperation Committee of the People's Power. Former representative Hwang Kyo-ahn, who served as Minister of Justice, Prime Minister, Acting President, and head of the Future Unity Party, the predecessor of the People's Power. These two players are participating in the election for the leader of the People's Power Party, which adds to the fun of watching. In <Stove League> we analyzed politicians Chen Haram and Hwang Kyo-an. (※ Analysis in order of name kanada)



The rise of young conservatives with new voices


Young conservatives, neoconservatives, and candidates who are laying their foothold in Honam, a tough spot for conservative politicians. He is running for president of the People's Power Party and is leading the convention. What is the prominence of "Cheon Haram" in Korean politics today?


Park Sung-min (political consulting MIN) and Yoon Tae-gon (Dermoa Political Analysis Office) say young politicians, including candidate Chen Haram, should be recognized for their influence in the party.



These groups, represented by Park Sung-min and Cheon Haram, have a louder voice than their shares, who continue to demand reform. At this convention, we will only see two or three (Cheon Haram, Lee Ki-in, Kim Yong-tae), but we will probably see a lot of them in the general election.


Yoon Tae-gon advises that in order for the People's Power to win next year's general elections, it must embrace Chen Haram's candidate.


Look at where the constituencies of young politicians like Yoon Tae-gon, Cheon Haram, Lee
Joon-seok, and Kim Jae-sop, chairman of the Party Cooperation Committee, are. Suncheon, Nowon Byung, Dobong. Even if you ask me to come, I won't go, and I will fight, but I don't give it? That's even more troubling. Suncheon? No one is running for office, so they didn't give the nomination to candidate Chen Haram? The headwinds are going to blow enormously.


Heaven Haram blocked by a wall called 'Lee Joon-seok'

Candidate Cheon Haram joining forces with former representative Lee Joon-seok to hold a convention. Park Sung-min analyzed the relationship between Chen and Lee as follows:


I definitely feel like I'm competing with former CEO
Park Sung-min and former CEO Lee Joon-suk. It seems clear that our enemy is Yun Yukwan, but at least Lee Joon-seok is a competitor, a bona fide competitor. That's what I said. The opponent I'm competing against right now is Lee Joon-seok in 2021 (at the time of the party's presidential election). It will be important whether or not you can show him that Lee Joon-seok and other Cheonharam.


Is candidate Chen Haram ahead of the race against former Chairman Lee Joon-suk? The answer for both consultants was no.




Without Park Sung-min and
former representative Lee Joon-suk, I wouldn't have been able to jump into this convention and become a politician with such political attention. What doesn't make it any worse is that candidate Haram (like this former leader) is not a politician with an agenda. We have to reform, we talk about attitudes, but as a minority faction, there are clear limitations.


Chief Yoon
Tae-gon (Candidate for Chen Haram) The plane went well. I'm cruising, but my original expectation was to blow up the jet engine and accelerate it, but I don't think it goes that far, I have such a regret. So he's the same as Lee Joon-seok, but he's different. Don't you say that? I'm trying to give you a sense of security, but I don't think I'm impressing you yet.

What are the stats of politician Chen Haram?

How many points did political newcomer Chen Haram get? We evaluated popularity, character, fandom, generosity, will to power, and vision of the future in six categories.


Both consultants gave Chen a rather low score.




The way forward for politician Chen Haram

A candidate with clear strengths and weaknesses. What does it take to grow in a weight class as a politician?




Park Sung-min, the candidate
for Cheon Haram, should have spoken more boldly than former representative Lee Joon-suk. Now that I'm here to get past Lee Joon-suk, I should have come out with an agenda (political agenda) that covers all of the feminist agenda and things like that that Lee Joon-seok had. Looking at it in the long run, how will we change politics, it seems that if we want to go beyond Lee Joon-suk, we will have to have a bolder agenda than Lee Joon-suk.


Park Sung-min and Yoon Tae-gon also gave advice on the characters.


Park Sung-min
If you have your own definite color, you can do business. If it did, it could have had a real blast, but I don't think so. This is my first appearance, so I hope to (strengthen) the character a little more in the future.

Yoon Tae-gon I
think, "It was an excellent choice to come out as a party leader instead of a member of the Supreme Committee," and I have homework to have items and characters. It's not like putting a stiff on your shoulders after a convention, but you need to raise your level a little bit, saying, "I'm a big guy now."

A familiar but unfamiliar politician... Hwanggyoan


Hwang Kyo-ahn, who has a more colorful career than anyone else, including Minister of Justice, Prime Minister, and Acting President. Following the leader of the Future Unity Party (predecessor of the People's Power), he is once again seeking party power. Can politician Hwang Kyo-an win the party race?



Yoon Tae-gon was the Minister of
Justice, and he was the Prime Minister. I also did the party leader. He even became acting president. I've seen it in the media a lot, but I don't really know. But I think it's still going on today.


So what's next for Hwang Kyo-an, who has gone through the ranks?


The only thing left for Park Sung-min
is the president. Who would say that he is a member of the National Assembly, and that "Wah Hwang Kyo-an has finally become a member of the National Assembly"? You don't. You have to challenge the president.


Park Sung-min No
matter how flexible he becomes, he is fundamentally obsessed with a very hardline conservative ideology. So how much will it be appreciated by the market when it comes out as a presidential candidate in the election? Whether you ran as a candidate or led a party, you kept getting frustrated at the last threshold because your electoral scalability is weak.


Yoon Tae-gon also pointed to Hwang's distinct political leanings as a weakness.


Candidate
Hwang Kyo-an of Yoon Tae-gon would think that political leanings are important, but he is too strong to attach. It's a problem because it's a tendency to stick dough (other tendencies) on it.

Election strategy to beat only candidate Kim Ki-hyun

Candidate Hwang Kyo-ahn is demanding that candidate Kim Ki-hyun, who is running first in the polls at the convention, resign one day after another. With allegations of market profits on the land in Ulsan, owned by candidate Kim. Both consultants say it's the best strategy Huang can take.



Representative Park Sung-min Since the
land speculation issue is a serious problem according to the data that they (Hwang Kyo-ahn's side) have seen, it will be difficult for the president to push through to the end, and in the end, he will have no choice but to give up, and I think candidate Hwang Kyo-an would have thought about it. If Kim Ki-hyun withdraws and Hwang Kyo-an and Ahn Cheol-so go to the runoff, the vote that wanted to vote for Kim Ki-hyun will be Hwang's candidacy. I think that's the strategy.

Director
Yoon Tae-gon In my view, this is the best strategy that can be formulated from Hwang Kyo-an's point of view. But whether it will work is another story.


Yoon Tae-gon pointed out to Hwang Kyo-an that no one was asking him about his victory in the general election.


This is the tragedy of candidate
Hwang Kyo-an. Candidate Kim Ki-hyun is embarrassed when asked about his general election victory, but he doesn't ask Hwang Kyo-ahn. When you are asked a question and you answer it, you say, 'Huh? Isn't it Huang Jiao'an?' But we don't have that yet.


How many points is politician Hwang Gyo-an?

Hwang Kyo-an was also evaluated in six categories: popularity, character, fandom, generosity, will to power, and vision for the future. What are Huang's weaknesses and strengths?


Hwang Kyo-an who scored the most points in the character section. It means that the image of rigid remuneration is strong. However, despite having a solid support base, it scored low in the fandom (support base) section.


It's like Yoon Tae-gon's
Hwang Kyo-an candidate fandom. It's hard, but it's small.

Park Sung-min
Representative Hwang Kyo-ahn's life history is not specialized in mass elections, so there are some limitations in terms of scalability. I don't think this will be fixed well either.

What a hard-line conservative Hwang Gyo-an needs

Park advises that Hwang needs to actively embrace opposition.

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